Thursday, June 25, 2020

Weather & Emergency Weather Alert App And Website Recommendations - Editorial

By: Leonard Lenny Vasbinder
June 25, 2020, New Orleans, LA

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Over the years, I've used many different weather apps on my phone and different websites on my computer.

Recently, I've been considering a weather radio but started checking out a few of the available FREE apps on the Play Store for my Samsung Android phone.

After trying a few and having to wait for actual bad weather -- fortunately, there have been three days of all-day bad weather and thunderstorms the past few days -- so far, I like the "Tornado" app from the American Red Cross. Reading the reviews from other users show there are some things that could use some tweaking like having the piercing alert come on even if you have your phone set to vibrate or silent mode. I rarely do that so it worked fine for me.

You can set it to follow your location settings or just set it to a particular city. Then you can expand the warning circumference for that city and whenever there is an alert for bad weather or a tornado, a rather loud, almost piercing sound blasts from your phone.

You can read more about the Tornado App here -- https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.cube.arc.tfa&hl=en_US

My "go-to" weather websites and apps are Weather Underground -- www.wunderground.com and MeteoBlue -- www.meteoblue.com.  One of the different but very good features of MeteoBlue is that it gives you the forecast but then also gives their probability percentages for each day of the forecast. They call it "Predictability."

In other words, as shown in the below screen snip, they have tomorrow's forecast as a 20% chance of rain and they'll have that as 75% Predictability rating and today's forecast is a 65% chance of rain with a 55% Predictability rating -- so they're giving you their forecast based on their interpretation of the available data but they are giving you their Predictability assessment as to how accurate they think they are with that day's forecast.




As far as Weather Underground, their website's 10-day forecast gives you good information at a glance but there is no Predictability feature so you have to presume they are 100% confident in their forecast.  Subscribe to this blog for an upcoming article showing how inaccurate most 10-day forecasts really are. There are also tabs for other forecasts and for the WunderMap which is a very good live radar map with customizable features for the data you want to be displayed.

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Monday, June 15, 2020

Mr. Gorbachev, Tear Down This Wall! -- Rhetorical analysis of President Ronald Reagan's speech at the Brandenburg Gate

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Editorial by Leonard Lenny Vasbinder
Republished June 15, 2020
Originally written as a rhetorical analysis paper in October 2016

Mr. Gorbachev, Tear Down This Wall!:
Rhetorical analysis of President Ronald Reagan’s speech at the Brandenburg Gate
            I turned 18 while Jimmy Carter was President. America was in a serious decline, later to be officially classified as a recession. It was the worst period in American history since The Great Depression. There were double-digit unemployment rates, double-digit interest rates, and double-digit inflation. There was the Iran hostage crisis and other strife in the Middle East which led to an OPEC-driven gasoline shortage.  These things resulted in miles-long lines to purchase just five gallons of gas at a time.  Things were so bad that the media regularly reported on “The Misery Index” during Carter’s presidency. Thus, I registered and voted for the Republican Ronald Reagan, the Great Communicator, as the next president and never looked back. In addition to winning the presidency of the United States by a landslide in 1980, Reagan had also served as Governor of California for two terms. He also won reelection by an even larger landslide in 1984, after having a very successful first term. The Cold War, the political and military state of mind that existed after World War II, was at its height during Reagan’s two terms. Reagan’s build-up of our military forces and military technology led the Soviet Union towards a financial crisis since the financial resources of their communist economy could not keep up with America’s capitalist economy. Reagan regularly stood up to the ever-expanding Soviet Empire, which gave him a lot of credibility as the leader of the Free World.
            By gaining the world’s confidence and trust as a political leader, appealing to facts, logic, and especially the emotions of both the East and West German people and the Free World, Reagan delivered one of the greatest speeches of all time.
            It is 1987, three years removed from a landslide reelection, Reagan stands at the Brandenburg Gate. Reagan is primarily addressing the people of West Berlin but the speech is also being broadcasted live around the world through all the news networks.  The organizers also set up large speakers on pedestals aimed over the Berlin Wall so that the people of East Berlin could also hear the speech. “To those listening in East Berlin, a special word:  Although I cannot be with you, I address my remarks to you just as surely as to those standing here before me.  For I join you, as I join your fellow countrymen in the West, in this firm, this unalterable belief:  Es Gibt nu rein Berlin [There is only one Berlin]” (Reagan).  Reagan established his purpose and duty, declaring that he and America were friends to the oppressed people of East Germany and the rest of the Soviet Union.  He tugged at their emotions and further persuaded them with logic, credibility, and powerful rhetoric. By using their language, Reagan made a deeper connection to the people of East and West Germany. This quote uses a sharp, slicing, yet sincere tone. In addition, Reagan, and the world’s agreement with him intimidated Soviet Union General Secretary Mikhail Gorbachev to cringe and cower to the deepest corners of his office.  President Reagan’s use of such rhetoric even persuaded the apathetic and oftentimes ignorant people of East Germany, and the apathetic people of West Germany, America, and the world to believe in and support him. 
            To further connect with the peoples of East and West Germany, Reagan again uses pathos by saying, “We come to Berlin, we American Presidents, because it's our duty to speak in this place of freedom… more than 500 years older than our own nation… Perhaps the composer, Paul Linke, understood something about American Presidents. You see, like so many Presidents before me, I come here today because wherever I go, whatever I do: “Ich hab Noch Einen Koffer in Berlin” [I still have a suitcase in Berlin.] Again, Reagan uses their language, continuing his efforts to further connect with the peoples of East and West Germany. He even references the title line from an old song, “I still have a suitcase in Berlin(Ich hab' Noch Einen Koffer in Berlin), one of the most famous songs about Berlin.
            President Reagan utilizes pathos and imagery when he says, “In this season of spring in 1945, the people of Berlin emerged from their air-raid shelters to find devastation. Thousands of miles away, the people of the United States reached out to help… Where four decades ago there was rubble, today in West Berlin there is the greatest industrial output of any city in Germany.” Referencing this historical moment following World War II, he alludes that America and the American people are here to help again.  It is 40 years later to the month that the Marshall Plan was created and used to rebuild Germany and Reagan is implying that America will help to rebuild Germany again—that is to rebuild the political and physical boundaries that separate East and West Germany.
President Reagan made a very bold declaration aimed at Gorbachev and the Soviet Union.  “General Secretary Gorbachev, if you seek peace, if you seek prosperity for the Soviet Union and Eastern Europe, if you seek liberalization: Come here to this gate! Mr. Gorbachev, open this gate! Mr. Gorbachev – Mr. Gorbachev, tear down this wall!” (Reagan). The crowd erupted jubilantly. Reagan uses parallelism to create a rhythmic flow to his speech. This bold statement and the entire speech and movement ultimately led to the collapse of the Berlin wall and the Soviet empire.  The communist-controlled East Germany built the wall in 1961 and the wall separated Berlin into East Berlin and West Berlin, with East Berlin and East Germany being communist-controlled and West Berlin and West Germany being controlled by a democratic government.
Reagan’s tone, use of imagery, and metaphors persuade his listeners in Germany and around the world to keep the freedom and unity movement going forward. The speech was highly successful and furthered the movement of a reunited Berlin and Germany.
The speech worked as planned.  

Works Cited
Reagan, Ronald.  Remarks at the Brandenburg Gate. 12 June 1987. AmericanRhetoric.com.          Web. 29 Sept. 2016


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I Used To Be A Normal Person

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The following was posted on Facebook on June 8, 2020, at 1:27 p.m., as one long paragraph. I am trying to find the original author as I found it on a page for someone who is not "almost 60" so I know that person did not write it but there was no attribution in the post.

After searching online, I did find a post on June 8, 2020, which attributes the Op-Ed to "Sandy." The Op-Ed is followed by an Answer by the publisher. Like most things copy/pasted on social media, the original (if Sandy's is the actual original) has been modified.

https://granitegrok.com/mg_manchester/2020/06/i-used-to-be-a-normal-person

I have not been able to contact "Sandy."

====================================

-- START QUOTED FACEBOOK POST

I Used To Be A Normal Person

As a [man or woman], I used to think I was pretty much just a regular person, but I was born white into a two-parent household which now labels me as "Privileged", racist and responsible for slavery.

I am a fiscal and moral conservative, which by today's standards, makes me a fascist because I plan, budget, and support myself.

I went to high school, worked my ass off to support my family. But I now find out that I am not here because I earned it, but because I was "advantaged”. I am heterosexual, which according to some "gay" folks, now makes me a homophobe.

I am not a Muslim, which now labels me as an infidel.

I believe in the 2nd Amendment, which makes me a threat to the liberals and I get labeled as being part of a militia. As a "Patriot Life Member" of the NRA, I'm now responsible for gun crimes in America.

I am almost 60, making me a useless person with outdated ideas and values. I think and I reason, and I doubt much of what the "mainstream" media tells me, which makes me a "Right-wing conspiracy nut”. I am proud of my heritage and our inclusive American culture, making me a xenophobe.

I believe in hard work, fair play, and fair compensation according to each individual's merits, which today makes me a target of socialist and Antifa.

I think males and females should go to the restroom based on the birth sex, so I am labeled a sexist. I believe our system guarantees freedom of effort - not freedom of outcome or subsidies which must make me a borderline sociopath.

I believe in a strong defense and protection of America for and by all citizens, now making me a militant.

I am proud of our flag, what it stands for and the many who died to let it fly, so I stand and salute during our National Anthem - so I must be a racist. I kneel only for The Cross, which makes me racist.

I think the Confederate monuments around our country symbolizes history, so I'm labeled as having hate in my heart when some suddenly are offended by their presence. I'm labeled racist when thinking the erasing of history will potentially cause us to repeat the problems.

I think that all lives matter, which labels me as a racist.

I support Trump, which labels me as a racist.

I think the riots and destruction of property around our country is wrong and is just an excuse to push a political agenda, so I'm labeled a racist. I support our cops, which labels me as a racist.

I vote for the Republican party because it best represents my conservative views, which labels me as a racist.

I question how fear is being used to control us during the COVID-19 pandemic and think the crisis is being used for political gain, so I'm labeled careless and non-sympathetic.

Please help me come to terms with the new me because I'm just not sure who I am anymore! It all took place over the last few years as the liberals have tried to make me feel bad about who I am so I will not vote for Trump's re-election.

Based on everything above, I guess I am a bad person.

But there are three things that define me!

1) My husband loves me,

2) I am not naive and see through the attack, and

3) I will be voting for Trump in November!

(There are lots of women just like me out there!)

TRUMP 2020!

-- END QUOTED FACEBOOK POST

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Sunday, May 3, 2020

#Coronapocalypse — Who Is Being Selfish Now?


By: Leonard Lenny Vasbinder
May 3, 2020

I saw a couple of versions of this post on Facebook and Twitter. I tried to find the original posting and author — to no avail. It did not have a title so I gave it one. I also corrected some grammatical and AP Style issues

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I was reading some posts for and against reopening the country. One was talking about being selfish and it got me to thinking.

There are those wanting to reopen yet they’re being classified as selfish. There are those that rely on all kinds of people to supply them while they cower in fear at home. Isn’t that being selfish too?

You expect your garbage to be picked up, you expect the grocery store to be open so you can get milk, you expect truck drivers to supply the stores, you expect farmers, meatpackers, fruit and vegetable pickers all to keep food in that grocery store.

You expect Amazon to still ship all the things you’re ordering while you sit at home shopping. You expect the delivery driver to leave it on your doorstep. You expect your phone to work, your power to stay on, and your mail to show up rain, sleet, or shine.

And most importantly, you expect the doctors and nurses to be there if you need them although many of them across the country have been furloughed because their units and services have been shut down while the entire system focuses only on COVID19.

The whole premise of shelter in place is based on the arrogant idea that others must risk their health so you can protect yours. There is nothing virtuous about ignoring the largely invisible army required to allow people to shelter in place.

I know there are some of you that are screaming mad about what I just said but stop and really think about what is allowing you to stay safe in your home.

I truly believe that with some common sense on my part, I could easily go back to life as it was. I want to go to restaurants, I want to shop at the little store just up the road.

And yes, I could catch COVID-19. I could also catch the flu or a cold. I could get run over by a bus. I could get struck by lightning. We take risks every day. If you choose to stay at home, that is absolutely your choice. And please don’t start screaming at me about how I’ll just spread it. Why are you worried? You won’t get it because you’re staying in your home.

Are you going to shelter in place every time a new strand of the flu happens?

Our economy can’t withstand much more of this. If our economy collapses, so will the rest of the world’s economies. If that happens, you will see the rise of tyrants.

I absolutely don’t want people to die — from COVID or anything else. I want people to live.

But sheltering in place is not living.

My comment on the thread —

I saw a shorter version of this with an attribution — "Written by @Katherine Bennett Amirteymour," but I still can't find the original. I found her FB page but do not see this posted on her page. Ugh! She has a private FB page and there is no way to even try to add her and she says she doesn't check messages. Reminds me of the "Now, dance monkey, dance" open letter to Hollyweird a couple of years ago but I was able to track down the author of that for this blog. I'll keep trying to verify the author of this for an article.

https://www.facebook.com/circleofmamas/posts/2596202520655331:0

Circleofmamas
April 30 at 9:41 p.m.
·
I was reading some posts for and against reopening the country. One was talking about being selfish and it got me to thinking.

There are those wanting to reopen yet they’re being classified as selfish. And then there are those that rely on all kinds of people to supply them while they cower in fear at home. Isn’t that being selfish too?

You expect your garbage to be picked up, you expect the grocery store to be open so you can get milk, you expect truck drivers to continue to supply the stores, you expect farmers, meatpackers, fruit, and vegetable pickers to keep food in that very grocery store.

You expect Amazon to continue to ship all the things you are ordering while you sit at home shopping. You expect the delivery driver to leave it on your doorstep. You expect your phone to work, your power to stay on, and your mail to show up rain, sleet, or shine. And most importantly, you expect the doctors and nurses to be there if you need them although many of them across the country have been furloughed because their units and services have been shut down because many hospitals are empty.

The whole premise of shelter in place is based on the arrogant idea that others must risk their health so you can protect yours. There is nothing virtuous about ignoring the largely invisible army required to allow people to shelter in place.

Written by Katherine Bennett Amirteymour